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MathChapter 9: Categorical Data and Probability
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Counting questions ask how many distinct outcomes are possible without listing them one by one. The essential SAT decision is whether to multiply stage choices directly, count ordered arrangements, or count unordered groups.

Learning objectives

  • Use the Fundamental Counting Principle for sequential stages.
  • Evaluate factorial expressions and cancel factorial ratios efficiently.
  • Recognize when order, rank, position, or role makes a permutation necessary.
  • Recognize when only group membership matters and use a combination.
  • State whether repetition is allowed before choosing a method.

Fundamental Counting Principle

Multiply choices across sequential stages

A three-stage access-code process has 3 symbol choices, 4 digit choices, and 2 color choices, producing 24 distinct codes.

  1. Stage 1Choose a symbol3 choices
    • Star
    • Circle
    • Triangle
  2. Stage 2Choose a digit4 choices
    • 2
    • 4
    • 6
    • 8
  3. Stage 3Choose a color2 choices
    • Mint
    • Peach

Multiply the stages3 × 4 × 2 = 2424 total outcomes

Worked example

Build a meal bundle

A café offers \(5\) sandwiches, \(3\) sides, and \(2\) drinks. How many bundles contain one choice from each category?

  1. Identify stages

    The three stages have \(5\), \(3\), and \(2\) choices.

  2. Multiply

    Apply the counting principle: \(5\times3\times2=30\).

There are \(30\) different bundles.

Factorial notation

Factorial
For the positive whole-number context of this chapter, \(n!\) is the product of \(n\) and every positive whole number below it through \(1\).
Factorial
\[n!=n(n-1)(n-2)\cdots3\cdot2\cdot1\]

For example, \(5!=5\cdot4\cdot3\cdot2\cdot1=120\).

Worked example

Cancel a factorial ratio

Evaluate \(\frac{8!}{5!}\).

  1. Expand only what is needed

    Write \(8!=8\cdot7\cdot6\cdot5!\).

  2. Cancel

    Then \(\frac{8\cdot7\cdot6\cdot5!}{5!}=8\cdot7\cdot6\).

The value is \(336\).

Permutations: order matters

Permutation
A permutation is an arrangement in which changing order, rank, position, or assigned role creates a different outcome.
Permutations of n distinct objects taken r at a time
\[{}_nP_r=\frac{n!}{(n-r)!}\]

Here \(n\) is the available number and \(r\) is the number of ordered positions filled.

Worked example

Assign distinct roles

From \(8\) volunteers, a coordinator, recorder, and presenter are assigned. How many assignments are possible?

  1. Test order

    The three roles are different, so changing who holds each role changes the outcome.

  2. Calculate

    Use \({}_8P_3=8\cdot7\cdot6=336\).

There are \(336\) ordered assignments.

Combinations: order does not matter

Combination
A combination is a selection in which only membership matters. Selecting Kai and Mira is the same group as selecting Mira and Kai.
Combinations of n distinct objects taken r at a time
\[{}_nC_r=\frac{n!}{r!(n-r)!}\]

The factor \(r!\) removes the different orders of each selected group.

Worked example

Choose an unordered team

A design club has \(9\) members. How many \(4\)-member review teams are possible?

  1. Test order

    The prompt assigns no roles, so rearranging the same four members changes nothing.

  2. Calculate

    Use \({}_9C_4=\frac{9!}{4!5!}=126\).

There are \(126\) different teams.

Choose the method

Permutation or combination?

A two-branch decision identifies the correct counting method by asking whether changing order creates a new outcome.

Would changing the order or assigned roles create a different outcome?

YesUse a permutation

Rank, position, or role distinguishes one arrangement from another.

Example: Assign captain and recorder from a club.
NoUse a combination

Only membership matters; rearranging the selected group changes nothing.

Example: Choose two club members for a committee.
Comparison of the three Chapter 9 counting methods
ConceptDoes order matter?Formula or ruleTypical situation
Fundamental Counting PrincipleDepends on the stagesMultiply legal choices at each stageBuild a code or select one item from each category
PermutationYes\({}_nP_r=\frac{n!}{(n-r)!}\)Assign ranks, seats, or distinct roles
CombinationNo\({}_nC_r=\frac{n!}{r!(n-r)!}\)Choose a committee, team, or subset

A reliable counting checklist

  1. Describe one outcome

    Ask exactly what would make two outcomes different.

  2. Check repetition

    Determine whether a selected object can be used again.

  3. Test order

    If swapping selected objects changes the result, order matters.

  4. Calculate

    Use stage multiplication, \({}_nP_r\), or \({}_nC_r\) and simplify carefully.

Mixed reasoning

Worked example

Combine an unordered and ordered decision

A panel chooses \(3\) of \(7\) proposals for review, then labels one selected proposal as the lead. How many results are possible?

  1. Choose the group

    Select \(3\) proposals without order: \({}_7C_3=35\).

  2. Assign the lead

    Any of the \(3\) selected proposals can be lead.

  3. Multiply stages

    The total is \(35\times3=105\).

There are \(105\) possible panel results.

Common mistakes and traps

  • Using a combination when ranks, seats, or assigned roles make order matter.
  • Using a permutation for an unordered team and counting the same group repeatedly.
  • Keeping the same number of choices after selecting an object that cannot repeat.
  • Expanding every factorial instead of canceling common factors first.
  • Reversing \(n\) and \(r\); \(n\) is available and \(r\) is selected or arranged.
  • Assuming every counting problem requires \({}_nP_r\) or \({}_nC_r\) when direct multiplication is simpler.
Mini check

Order test

Ten finalists are available. In how many ways can judges select a winner and runner-up?

  1. \({}_{10}C_2\)
  2. \({}_{10}P_2\)
  3. \(10!\)
  4. \(2^{10}\)
Show answer and explanation

Answer: \({}_{10}P_2=90\)

Winner and runner-up are distinct ranks, so reversing two finalists creates a different result.

Key takeaways

What to remember

  • Multiply the number of legal choices at each sequential stage.
  • A permutation counts ordered arrangements; a combination counts unordered selections.
  • Ask whether changing order creates a different outcome before choosing a formula.
  • State repetition conditions clearly and decrease choices when reuse is forbidden.
  • Cancel factorials before multiplying large numbers.
Continue learning

Put these notes into practice

Apply the ideas with SAT-style questions, then reinforce key details with flashcards.